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Why this Recession is Actually a Gold Mine for Venture Capital

Paul Zhao
3 min readNov 28, 2022

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In the best of times and the worst of times, performant entrepreneurs will thrive, survive, and prevail.

miner in a mining cart coming out of a gold mine
Courtesy: Roman Klco

VC Focus During Lean Times

Tech has been arguably overdue for a correction of sorts, not unlike high finance during the 2008 Great Recession. And VCs have tightened their belts in anticipation of the impending downturn mixed with high inflation. This has culminated in investors focusing on quality versus quantity in terms of startup deals. Cheap capital won’t be as plentiful as they were nearly a year ago. According to PitchBook, the squeeze on venture capital has quickly translated to a more investor-friendly environment as entrepreneurs compete for a smaller aggregate pool of funds. Commensurately, the median valuation step ups have dramatically begun to revert to the mean of the past five years as well.

Pitchbook — Dealmaking Index Nov. 2022
PitchBook — Dealmaking Index Nov. 2022
PitchBook — Median valuation step ups Nov. 2022

Goodbye (for now), Wanna-be-preneurs

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Paul Zhao
Paul Zhao

Written by Paul Zhao

Father, husband, former entrepreneur, corporate PM. I’m constantly looking for diversions to keep the neurons firing, if only a little.

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